Performance Tracking
Our Track Record
Complete transparency on every position. Every pick is timestamped, verified, and tracked.
Record through Apr 8, 2026 · Last synced Apr 11, 2026, 11:22 AM EDT
Last verified record covers picks through Apr 8, 2026. The next update typically lands within a few days of the current NBA slate.
Win Rate
58.8%
425 picks evaluated
Total Picks
425
82 nights
Yield
14.0%
Return on wagered
Bankroll Growth
+$597
$800 → $1397
CLV
53%
Beat the closing line
Cumulative Performance
Bankroll over time, starting at $800
Monthly Breakdown
Click a month to view details
Month
Record
Yield
Win Rate
Performance by Sportsbook
Win rate by book state and direction
| contracting | stable | expanding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| over | 76.2% 16W / 5L (21) | 60.0% 24W / 16L (40) | 61.5% 32W / 20L (52) |
| under | 60.9% 14W / 9L (23) | 80.0% 20W / 5L (25) | 61.5% 8W / 5L (13) |
Complete Pick History
Every pick, fully transparent
Direction:
Result:
425 picks
Starting bankroll:$
Final: $1397Profit: +$597Yield: 14.0%Max DD: 7.9%
1 / 43
Deep Analysis
Detailed performance breakdowns — where our model finds the most value
Performance by Confidence Level
How our picks perform grouped by how confident the model is. Higher confidence = larger predicted edge over the sportsbook.
Profitable (≥58% WR)Marginal (52-58%)Below breakeven
Strongest edge: 12-15% confidence — 83.8% win rate (31W-6L)
<5% edge
0.0%0W-0L
0 picks
5-8% edge
53.9%137W-117L
254 picks
8-10% edge
62.8%49W-29L
78 picks
10-12% edge
50.0%20W-20L
40 picks
12-15% edge
83.8%31W-6L
37 picks
15%+ edge
81.3%13W-3L
16 picks