Every pick, on the record
Complete transparency on every verified NBA points position.
A Jan–May 2026 historical backtest replay · not a forward guarantee (forward expectation 55–60%).
Verified record shown: NBA points props only, January–May 2026. Other NBA prop markets are in development and do not yet have a public verified track record.
Run the record on your bankroll
Same 1.25%/unit sizing, linearly rescaled from the Jan–May 2026 backtest
Backtest used $800, same 1.25%/unit sizing. Scaled from the Jan–May 2026 backtest. Past results, not a forward guarantee.
Cumulative Performance
Bankroll over time, starting at $1000
Monthly Breakdown
Click a month to view details
Did beating the line pay off?
Win rate when our bet beat, matched, or lost the closing line.
| Lost value | Held | Beat the line | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 53.7% 101W / 87L (188) | 57.1% 136W / 102L (238) | 57.3% 106W / 79L (185) |
| Under | 55.2% 85W / 69L (154) | 63.7% 151W / 86L (237) | 63.8% 139W / 79L (218) |
Complete Pick History
1220 settled NBA points picks across 123 nights, Jan–May 2026
Deep Analysis
Where the edge concentrates: by confidence, scoring range, player, and the biggest swings
Performance by Confidence Level
How our picks perform grouped by how confident the model is. Higher confidence = larger predicted edge over the sportsbook.